GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 8/15/2026, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

CA Estudiantes are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Chacarita Juniors are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and CA Estudiantes hold a 4.8-point power-rating edge (50.0 v 45.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.4% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 16% BTTS chance and 9% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

46.9%

Model confidence

36.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CA EstudiantesLDLDW

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Chacarita JuniorsLWLDW

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
CA EstudiantesChacarita Juniors
27.8Attack26.1
72.2Defence65.2
44.4Form37.7
50.0Power45.2
0.64xG0.40
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