Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bzenec · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Bzenec are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Znojmo are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 4.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Bzenec hold a 30.0-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 50.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.6% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Bzenec holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bzenec
Probability
45.6%
Model confidence
45.6%
Bzenec has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
GF 20 · GA 8 · avg 4.00/1.60