Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bzenec · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Bzenec are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Hodonín are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Bzenec hold a 12.3-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 68.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.0% in the Cup, while Bzenec holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bzenec
Probability
45.1%
Model confidence
9.0%
Bzenec has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 11 · GA 12 · avg 2.20/2.40