Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bzenec · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Bzenec are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Břeclav are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Bzenec hold a 62.8-point power-rating edge (86.5 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.3% in the Cup, while Bzenec holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bzenec
Probability
49.3%
Model confidence
49.3%
Bzenec has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20