Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
BVSC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
BVSC are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Tatabánya are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and BVSC hold a 4.3-point power-rating edge (38.7 v 34.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.5% in the Friendlies Clubs, while BVSC holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
BVSC
Probability
35.5%
Model confidence
35.5%
BVSC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00