Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
BVSC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
BVSC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Majosi are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 3.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and BVSC hold a 7.4-point power-rating edge (38.7 v 31.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.5% in the Friendlies Clubs, while BVSC holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
BVSC
Probability
38.5%
Model confidence
38.5%
BVSC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
GF 18 · GA 10 · avg 3.60/2.00