Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
SC Braga · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Buxton are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while SC Braga are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and SC Braga hold a 17.1-point power-rating edge (64.9 v 82.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.1% in the Friendlies Clubs, while SC Braga holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
SC Braga
Probability
35.1%
Model confidence
35.1%
SC Braga has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60