Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Buxoro · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Buxoro are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Xorazm are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Buxoro hold a 14.8-point power-rating edge (58.4 v 43.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.7% in the Super League, while Buxoro holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Buxoro
Probability
53.7%
Model confidence
53.7%
Buxoro has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80