Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Buxoro · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Buxoro are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Olmaliq are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Olmaliq hold a 2.0-point power-rating edge (56.6 v 58.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.3% in the Super League, while Buxoro holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Buxoro
Probability
37.8%
Model confidence
14.3%
Buxoro has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60