Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Buxoro · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Buxoro are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Lokomotiv are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Buxoro hold a 4.3-point power-rating edge (58.4 v 54.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.2% in the Super League, while Buxoro holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Buxoro
Probability
44.4%
Model confidence
14.2%
Buxoro has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40