Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Buxoro · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Buxoro are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Bunyodkor are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Buxoro hold a 14.6-point power-rating edge (58.4 v 43.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.5% in the Super League, while Buxoro holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Buxoro
Probability
56.6%
Model confidence
15.5%
Buxoro has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00