Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shortan · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2
14%
MediumconfidenceBuxDu are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Shortan are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and shortan hold a 38.6-point power-rating edge (28.7 v 67.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely result in the Pro League A, favouring Shortan with 13.8% confidence, a 44% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Shortan
Probability
79.0%
Model confidence
13.8%
Shortan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BuxDuLWWWL
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
ShortanWLLWW
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
BuxDuShortan
31.0Attack56.4
21.4Defence64.1
23.8Form74.4
28.7Power67.3
0.64xG2.70