GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 4 · 8/15/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Busko-Zdroj · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Busko-Zdroj are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (WD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Siarka Tarnobrzeg are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 7 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Busko-Zdroj hold a 31.5-point power-rating edge (68.0 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.0% in the III Liga - Group 4, while Busko-Zdroj holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Busko-Zdroj

Probability

53.2%

Model confidence

12.0%

Busko-Zdroj has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Busko-ZdrojWD

GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 2/2O2.5 1/2
Siarka TarnobrzegLDLLL

GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Busko-ZdrojSiarka Tarnobrzeg
66.7Attack16.7
66.7Defence66.7
66.7Form16.7
68.0Power36.5
1.83xG1.09
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