Busan Transportationvs
Siheung Citizen
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · K3 League · 3/28/2026, 5:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Busan Transportation are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Siheung Citizen are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Siheung Citizen hold a 3.2-point power-rating edge (48.0 v 51.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.9% in the K3 League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
35.9%
Model confidence
35.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60