GGOALVIO

South-Korea · K3 League · 5/2/2026, 5:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dangjin Citizen · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Busan Transportation are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Dangjin Citizen are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Dangjin Citizen hold a 6.6-point power-rating edge (48.0 v 54.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.8% in the K3 League, while Dangjin Citizen holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Dangjin Citizen

Probability

39.8%

Model confidence

39.8%

Dangjin Citizen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Busan TransportationWWDDL

GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Dangjin CitizenWWDWL

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Busan TransportationDangjin Citizen
40.5Attack61.4
57.1Defence52.6
40.5Form49.1
48.0Power54.6
1.21xG1.47
View match centre →