Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Radcliffe · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Bury are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Radcliffe are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWW), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Radcliffe hold a 63.7-point power-rating edge (7.0 v 70.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.8% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Radcliffe holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Radcliffe
Probability
44.8%
Model confidence
44.8%
Radcliffe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 0.40/0.20