GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Northern · 8/11/2026, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Curzon Ashton · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Bury are 2W-1D-1L in their last 4 (DLWW), averaging 1.25 scored and 2.25 conceded, while Curzon Ashton are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 9 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Curzon Ashton hold a 35.0-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.1% in the Non League Premier - Northern, while Curzon Ashton holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Curzon Ashton

Probability

37.3%

Model confidence

14.1%

Curzon Ashton has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BuryDLWW

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.25/2.25

BTTS 2/4O2.5 3/4
Curzon AshtonWDLWL

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
BuryCurzon Ashton
0.0Attack33.3
100.0Defence100.0
33.3Form100.0
45.3Power80.3
1.20xG1.29
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