Burton Albionvs
Stevenage
SCHEDULEDEngland · League One · 8/15/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Stevenage · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Burton Albion are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDDDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Stevenage are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Stevenage hold a 14.6-point power-rating edge (40.2 v 54.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 19.3% in the League One, while Stevenage holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Stevenage
Probability
48.3%
Model confidence
19.3%
Stevenage has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00