GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Burton Albion · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Burton Albion are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDDDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Leicester are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Burton Albion hold a 25.0-point power-rating edge (68.0 v 43.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.2% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Burton Albion holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Burton Albion

Probability

46.2%

Model confidence

46.2%

Burton Albion has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Burton AlbionDDDDW

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
LeicesterWWWDD

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Burton AlbionLeicester
66.7Attack26.7
66.7Defence53.3
66.7Form40.0
68.0Power43.0
1.98xG1.06
View match centre →