GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/26/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Shakhtar Donetsk · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Bursaspor are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Shakhtar Donetsk are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Shakhtar Donetsk hold a 14.3-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 59.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.2% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Shakhtar Donetsk holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Shakhtar Donetsk

Probability

44.2%

Model confidence

44.2%

Shakhtar Donetsk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BursasporWWWWD

GF 14 · GA 2 · avg 2.80/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Shakhtar DonetskDWDWL

GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
BursasporShakhtar Donetsk
0.0Attack64.1
100.0Defence64.1
33.3Form53.8
45.3Power59.7
1.15xG1.91
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