Bursasporvs
Shakhtar Donetsk
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 7/26/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shakhtar Donetsk · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Bursaspor are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Shakhtar Donetsk are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Shakhtar Donetsk hold a 14.3-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 59.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.2% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Shakhtar Donetsk holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Shakhtar Donetsk
Probability
44.2%
Model confidence
44.2%
Shakhtar Donetsk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 2 · avg 2.80/0.40
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60