Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Iğdır FK · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Bursaspor are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.20 conceded, while 76 Iğdır Belediyespor are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and 76 Iğdır Belediyespor hold a 5.8-point power-rating edge (50.0 v 55.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.2% in the 1. Lig, while 76 Iğdır Belediyespor holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Iğdır FK
Probability
45.5%
Model confidence
14.2%
Iğdır FK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 1 · avg 2.60/0.20
GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40