Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Burnley · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Burnley are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Torino are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Torino hold a 9.6-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 54.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.5% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Burnley holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Burnley
Probability
34.5%
Model confidence
34.5%
Burnley has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20