Burnie Utd.vs
Ulverstone U21
COMPLETEDAustralia · Tasmania Northern Championship · 8/15/2026, 4:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ulverstone U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-4
Burnie Utd. are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLD), averaging 3.20 scored and 4.80 conceded, while Ulverstone U21 are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Ulverstone U21 hold a 24.3-point power-rating edge (34.4 v 58.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 6.8% in the Tasmania Northern Championship, while Ulverstone U21 holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 95% BTTS chance and 98% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ulverstone U21
Probability
50.7%
Model confidence
6.8%
Ulverstone U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 16 · GA 24 · avg 3.20/4.80
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20