GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Northern Championship · 8/15/2026, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ulverstone U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-4

Lowconfidence

Burnie Utd. are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLD), averaging 3.20 scored and 4.80 conceded, while Ulverstone U21 are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Ulverstone U21 hold a 24.3-point power-rating edge (34.4 v 58.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 6.8% in the Tasmania Northern Championship, while Ulverstone U21 holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 95% BTTS chance and 98% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ulverstone U21

Probability

50.7%

Model confidence

6.8%

Ulverstone U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Burnie Utd.LLWLD

GF 16 · GA 24 · avg 3.20/4.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Ulverstone U21WWLWL

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Burnie Utd.Ulverstone U21
85.2Attack84.3
0.0Defence39.2
31.5Form58.8
34.4Power58.8
3.37xG4.50
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