GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/18/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Burgos · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Burgos are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.00 conceded, while Real Sociedad II are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Burgos hold a 14.8-point power-rating edge (54.9 v 40.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.6% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Burgos holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Burgos

Probability

39.6%

Model confidence

39.6%

Burgos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BurgosWWWDD

GF 4 · GA 0 · avg 0.80/0.00

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
Real Sociedad IIDLDWD

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
BurgosReal Sociedad II
38.9Attack11.1
61.1Defence55.6
55.6Form44.4
54.9Power40.1
1.55xG1.11
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