GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 8/8/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Burgos · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Burgos are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Cultural Leonesa are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Burgos hold a 2.2-point power-rating edge (54.9 v 52.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.9% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Burgos holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Burgos

Probability

35.9%

Model confidence

13.9%

Burgos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BurgosLWDWW

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Cultural LeonesaDLDLW

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
BurgosCultural Leonesa
38.9Attack50.0
61.1Defence75.0
55.6Form41.7
54.9Power52.7
1.30xG1.28
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