Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Burgos · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Burgos are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.00 conceded, while Cordoba are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 49.8 against 48.2. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.2% in the Segunda División, while Burgos holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Burgos
Probability
40.8%
Model confidence
14.2%
Burgos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 0 · avg 0.80/0.00
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00