Burgosvs
Athletic Club
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 8/1/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Athletic Club · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2
Burgos are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Athletic Club are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 4.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Athletic Club hold an 18.0-point power-rating edge (54.9 v 72.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.5% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Athletic Club holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Athletic Club
Probability
49.5%
Model confidence
49.5%
Athletic Club has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 1 · avg 1.40/0.20
GF 21 · GA 2 · avg 4.20/0.40