Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Luzern · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Buochs are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while FC Luzern are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Luzern hold a 25.4-point power-rating edge (50.0 v 75.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.0% in the Schweizer Cup, while FC Luzern holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FC Luzern
Probability
44.0%
Model confidence
44.0%
FC Luzern has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00