Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nasaf · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Bunyodkor are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Nasaf are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Nasaf hold a 12.8-point power-rating edge (43.8 v 56.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.9% in the Super League, while Nasaf holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Nasaf
Probability
42.9%
Model confidence
42.9%
Nasaf has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60