Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lokomotiv · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Bunyodkor are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Lokomotiv are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Lokomotiv hold a 10.3-point power-rating edge (43.8 v 54.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.1% in the Super League, while Lokomotiv holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lokomotiv
Probability
42.1%
Model confidence
42.1%
Lokomotiv has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40