Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bumprom · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Bumprom are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Orsha are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Bumprom hold a 12.6-point power-rating edge (56.2 v 43.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.2% in the 1. Division, while Bumprom holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bumprom
Probability
65.2%
Model confidence
65.2%
Bumprom has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 7 · avg 3.00/1.40
GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20