Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Niva · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Bumprom are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Niva are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Niva hold an 11.2-point power-rating edge (56.2 v 67.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.2% in the 1. Division, while Niva holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Niva
Probability
46.2%
Model confidence
46.2%
Niva has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00