Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bumprom · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Bumprom are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while BATE II are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Bumprom hold a 25.8-point power-rating edge (56.2 v 30.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 79.3% in the 1. Division, while Bumprom holds the strongest overall chance at 79% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bumprom
Probability
79.3%
Model confidence
79.3%
Bumprom has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40