GGOALVIO

Australia · Victoria NPL 2 · 3/21/2026, 7:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Melbourne Knights · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Bulleen Lions are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Melbourne Knights are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Melbourne Knights hold a 10.2-point power-rating edge (59.1 v 69.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.5% in the Victoria NPL 2, while Melbourne Knights holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Melbourne Knights

Probability

44.5%

Model confidence

44.5%

Melbourne Knights has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bulleen LionsLDLWL

GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Melbourne KnightsWWWWL

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Bulleen LionsMelbourne Knights
63.8Attack65.3
56.5Defence72.2
56.5Form70.8
59.1Power69.3
1.19xG1.65
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