GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Promocional Amateur · 8/12/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Buenos Aires City are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Belgrano Zarate are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Buenos Aires City hold a 10.2-point power-rating edge (60.7 v 50.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.8% in the Torneo Promocional Amateur, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 15% BTTS chance and 8% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

46.1%

Model confidence

36.8%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Buenos Aires CityWWWWL

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Belgrano ZarateLDWDW

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Buenos Aires CityBelgrano Zarate
44.4Attack21.2
75.0Defence78.8
58.3Form42.4
60.7Power50.5
0.70xG0.32
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