Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Iváncsa · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Budaörs are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Iváncsa are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Iváncsa hold a 74.8-point power-rating edge (22.2 v 97.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.2% in the NB III - Southwest, while Iváncsa holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Iváncsa
Probability
52.6%
Model confidence
9.2%
Iváncsa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.20/2.20
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80