GGOALVIO

Hungary · NB I · 8/1/2026, 3:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

MTK Budapest · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Budapest Honved are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while MTK Budapest are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and MTK Budapest hold a 12.9-point power-rating edge (42.1 v 54.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.6% in the NB I, while MTK Budapest holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

MTK Budapest

Probability

39.6%

Model confidence

39.6%

MTK Budapest has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Budapest HonvedDLWWW

GF 13 · GA 3 · avg 2.60/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
MTK BudapestWDWLL

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Budapest HonvedMTK Budapest
58.3Attack88.9
33.3Defence33.3
25.0Form44.4
42.1Power54.9
1.89xG2.03
View match centre →