GGOALVIO

Wales · FAW Championship · 8/15/2026, 1:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Porthmadog · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Lowconfidence

Buckley Town are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 4.00 conceded, while Porthmadog are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Porthmadog hold a 65.0-point power-rating edge (21.5 v 86.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.4% in the FAW Championship, while Porthmadog holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Porthmadog

Probability

52.9%

Model confidence

9.4%

Porthmadog has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Buckley TownLLLLL

GF 6 · GA 20 · avg 1.20/4.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
PorthmadogWWDLD

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Buckley TownPorthmadog
50.0Attack66.7
0.0Defence83.3
0.0Form100.0
21.5Power86.5
1.44xG2.20
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