Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Buchbach · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Buchbach are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Aubstadt are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Buchbach hold a 9.3-point power-rating edge (79.5 v 70.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.7% in the Regionalliga - Bayern, while Buchbach holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Buchbach
Probability
51.6%
Model confidence
10.7%
Buchbach has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80