GGOALVIO

Colombia · Primera A · 1/18/2026, 1:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Bucaramanga are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Millonarios are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Millonarios hold a 2.8-point power-rating edge (52.3 v 55.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.0% in the Primera A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

37.0%

Model confidence

37.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BucaramangaLDDWL

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
MillonariosDLWDD

GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
BucaramangaMillonarios
46.4Attack51.5
65.2Defence63.6
44.9Form48.5
52.3Power55.0
1.07xG0.99
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