BucaramangavsDeportivo Pasto

Bucaramanga are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Deportivo Pasto are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Bucaramanga hold a 2.2-point power-rating edge (50.9 v 48.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.7% in the Primera A, while Bucaramanga holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.