Bucaramangavs
Deportivo Cali
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera A · 2/21/2026, 9:10:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Bucaramanga are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDWDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Deportivo Cali are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportivo Cali hold a 2.8-point power-rating edge (52.3 v 55.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 24.5% in the Primera A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 18% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
39.8%
Model confidence
24.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00