GGOALVIO

Colombia · Primera A · 2/21/2026, 9:10:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Bucaramanga are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDWDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Deportivo Cali are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportivo Cali hold a 2.8-point power-rating edge (52.3 v 55.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 24.5% in the Primera A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 18% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

39.8%

Model confidence

24.5%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BucaramangaDDWDD

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Deportivo CaliWLDWL

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
BucaramangaDeportivo Cali
46.4Attack36.4
65.2Defence74.2
44.9Form50.0
52.3Power55.1
0.76xG0.70
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