Bucaramangavs
Deportes Tolima
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera A · 2/11/2026, 1:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Bucaramanga are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Deportes Tolima are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportes Tolima hold a 6.5-point power-rating edge (52.3 v 58.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.6% in the Primera A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
38.6%
Model confidence
38.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60