Bucaramangavs
Alianza Valledupar
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera A · 2/1/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bucaramanga · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Bucaramanga are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Alianza Valledupar are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Bucaramanga hold a 15.2-point power-rating edge (52.3 v 37.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.5% in the Primera A, while Bucaramanga holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bucaramanga
Probability
60.5%
Model confidence
60.5%
Bucaramanga has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20