Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bryne · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Bryne are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Moss are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Bryne hold a 7.6-point power-rating edge (48.1 v 40.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.1% in the 1. Division, while Bryne holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bryne
Probability
53.3%
Model confidence
9.1%
Bryne has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60