Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Brusque · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Brusque are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Ituano are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Brusque hold a 7.0-point power-rating edge (57.6 v 50.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.5% in the Serie C, while Brusque holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Brusque
Probability
39.5%
Model confidence
39.5%
Brusque has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20