Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Brusque · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Brusque are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Floresta are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Brusque hold an 8.2-point power-rating edge (57.6 v 49.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.6% in the Serie C, while Brusque holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Brusque
Probability
44.6%
Model confidence
44.6%
Brusque has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20