Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bærum · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1
Bærum are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while KFUM II are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Bærum hold a 19.4-point power-rating edge (65.8 v 46.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.3% in the 3. Division - Girone 1, while Bærum holds the strongest overall chance at 75% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 80% BTTS chance and 92% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bærum
Probability
75.0%
Model confidence
8.3%
Bærum has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 9 · avg 2.80/1.80
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20