GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 6/20/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tampa Bay Rowdies · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Brooklyn are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWDLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Tampa Bay Rowdies are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Tampa Bay Rowdies hold a 34.3-point power-rating edge (34.0 v 68.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 73.0% in the USL Championship, while Tampa Bay Rowdies holds the strongest overall chance at 73% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tampa Bay Rowdies

Probability

73.0%

Model confidence

73.0%

Tampa Bay Rowdies has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BrooklynDWDLL

GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Tampa Bay RowdiesLDWWW

GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
BrooklynTampa Bay Rowdies
33.3Attack63.2
37.3Defence66.7
25.5Form71.9
34.0Power68.3
0.64xG2.41
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