Brooklynvs
Louisville City
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 3/28/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Louisville City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Brooklyn are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Louisville City are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Louisville City hold a 20.1-point power-rating edge (33.5 v 53.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.5% in the USL Championship, while Louisville City holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Louisville City
Probability
57.5%
Model confidence
57.5%
Louisville City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60
GF 18 · GA 4 · avg 3.60/0.80